Baron Dave Romm (barondave) wrote,
Baron Dave Romm

Notes without coherency

I was making notes all last night, starting with Obama being declared the victor, intending to flesh out my thoughts. Alas, the morning brings no resolve.

Best McCain speech ever. At the very last minute, he reverts to form. Congrats, John. I'm glad you're in the senate, in the same way I'm glad Obama is the president.

Best tv commentator: David Gergen. CNN was generally mediocre to bad, but Gergen said intelligent things calmly and articulately.

I predicted that Obama would win by 10% of the popular vote, minus Republican cheating. It looks like he isn't going to get that. On the other hand, he did really well in all parts of the country, winning Virginia, Indiana, Florida, Colorado and Nevada in addition to the left and right coasts that Gore/Kerry took. And he did do better than 10% in the previously purple state of Minnesota, so perhaps I was just paying attention to local sentiment more than national.

My other prediction was that the Democrats would have a very hard time getting to 60 Senators. As of this writing, they have 56, with Franken/Coleman still undecided. Doesn't look like Bachmann will be booted out, nor Saxby Chamblis nor Mitch McConnell. But we got Dole and kept Landrieu. If Stevens wins, he'll be an embarrassment to the Republicans.

As James Carville (of all people) pointed out, Democrats have done really well now in two election cycles. They picked up House and Senate seats in 2006 and 2008, far far outweighing the razor thin majorities of the Gingrich "Revolution" in 1994 and in elections since. Not only does Obama have an historic presidency on his side, but liberals have a mandate to change the direction of the country.

As of right now, 11:28 pm, someone is screaming "O Bam Aaaaaah" outside on Lake Street. Geeze, you'd think the Vikings won the World Series, or something. And this is going on all night...

What to watch out for: Bush going on a tear and trying to cram his third term of deregulation, no-bid contracts and activist appointments into the next 2 1/2 months.
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