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Tuesday, February 24th, 2009
|Global Warming worse than current consensus
M.I.T. joins climate realists, doubles its projection of global warming by 2100 to 5.1°C
. From Climate Progress, my brother's blog:
The Massachusetts Institute of Technology Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Climate Change has joined the climate realists. The realists are the growing group of scientists who understand that the business as usual emissions path leads to unmitigated catastrophe (see, for instance, “Hadley Center: “Catastrophic” 5-7°C warming by 2100 on current emissions path” and below).
The Program issued a remarkable, though little-remarked-on, report in January, “Probabilistic Forecast for 21st Century Climate Based on Uncertainties in Emissions (without Policy) and Climate Parameters,” by over a dozen leading experts. They reanalyzed their model’s 2003 projections model using the latest data, and concluded:
The MIT Integrated Global System Model is used to make probabilistic projections of climate change from 1861 to 2100. Since the model’s first projections were published in 2003 substantial improvements have been made to the model and improved estimates of the probability distributions of uncertain input parameters have become available. The new projections are considerably warmer than the 2003 projections, e.g., the median surface warming in 2091 to 2100 is 5.1°C compared to 2.4°C in the earlier study.
With charts and further commentary following.
The economic crisis may be more immediate, but global warming will have a greater impact in your life in the not too distant future.
|Five Things Elaboration
'Tis the season to be talking about oneself. And with good reason! With the "25 Things" thing being so famous as to have been dissed by the mainstream media, it seems that people are just busting out all over to tell relative (or complete) strangers all sorts of semi-intimate details. Well, good. That's what the internet is for: communication. The dangers are vastly outweighed by the potential benefits and (I suspect) both are heavily outweighed by ennui. But I digress.gamerchick
spread a virus: Comment on this post and I'll tell you five subjects/things I associate with you. Then you post them in your lj and elaborate. I'm not sure I can promise to fulfill the viral part and tag anyone else, and if I do I don't promise five, but here are my responses to her:( Shockwave Radio Theatre, photography, fanzines, fandom and its history, album and film reviewsCollapse )
Well, that's altogether too much and yet not enough on five subjects. Yeah, I'm tired too.