Just what is this Consensus anyway? excerpt:
- The consensus that exists is that of the IPCC reports, in particular the working group I report (there are three WG's. By "IPCC", people tend to mean WG I). Fortunately that report is available online for all to read at report. Its a good idea to realise that though the IPCC report contains the consensus, it didn't form it. The IPCC process was supposed to be - and is - a summary of the science (as available at the time). Because they did their job well, it really is a good review/summary/synthesis.
The main points that most would agree on as "the consensus" are:- The earth is getting warmer (0.6 +/- 0.2 oC in the past century; 0.17 oC/decade over the last 30 years (see update)) [ch 2]
- People are causing this [ch 12] (see update)
- If GHG emissions continue, the warming will continue and indeed accelerate [ch 9]
- (This will be a problem and we ought to do something about it)
- The earth is getting warmer (0.6 +/- 0.2 oC in the past century; 0.17 oC/decade over the last 30 years (see update)) [ch 2]
- However, there is a big difference between really challenging the majority opinion and simply stating that you are.... In reading about the new 'heretics' then, one might have expected that associated with them would be statements that would contradict IPCC or that we (as mainstream scientists who do not claim to be heretics) would otherwise find objectionable. So let's consider the specific tenets of the 'new heresy' mentioned in the article [details]....The only substantial disagreement, then, is over a movie review. On all other points of substance the 'heresy' and the old orthodoxy are the same.
Water vapour: feedback or forcing? excerpt:
I hope this is sufficient proof for